If you asked the average Pats fan if they thought a win at Orchard Park was on the horizon, they'd probably say "Nah, guy." Turnover-prone meets turnover-forcersĭespite Josh Allen once again a power player in the MVP conversation, the QB has been much more mistake-prone this season, especially on third downs and in the red zone. Late-game execution in close games and against high-quality opponents has also been horrendous (here's looking at you, Rhamondre Stevenson). The biggest issue, of course, is moving the ball consistently and getting into the end zone. Almost every single Pats win this season has come against terrible teams and/or backup QBs, a campaign possibly more deceiving on paper than the 12-4 Vikings. Mac Jones has thrown 11 TDs and eight interceptions, and both his QB rating (85.8) and average passing yards (211.8 per game) stink worse than the New Bedford docks at low tide. The Patriots may have an outside shot at making the playoffs - and they control their own destiny in Week 18, despite a plethora of challenges throughout the season - but the overall mood in New England remains dismal. Patriots at Bills: Three things to watch for Can Mac Jones and the Pats win a meaningful game? Both squads have seen the OVER hit just 50 percent of the time, but the OVER has hit just once in five division games for both squads. Similarly, New England allows the fifth-fewest points per game (19.5) but allows over three TDs per road game (21.1). The Bills average the fourth-most points per game this season (28), but their scoring average at home has been even better (31.3, second most). Buffalo is a modest 7-7-1 against the spread as a favorite this season, and the Patriots are a brutal 2-6 ATS as underdogs. Since Brady took his talents to Tampa in '20, the Bills have gone 5-1 against the Pats, collectively outscoring their divisional foes 176-92 in that span. '19, the Patriots went 35-4 against the Bills. ![]() ![]() New England leads the all-time rivalry 77-48-1, not surprisingly powered in large part by the dominant Tom Brady era. Take advantage of BetQL’s 3-day free trial and see all of our best bets across all sports, including college football, NFL, and MLB! Patriots vs. With both teams battling for playoff positioning, and the Bills enduring the unfathomable tragedy of nearly losing their teammate and friend during a game, it's not surprising to see oddsmakers projecting this one as a one-score Bills win. It shifted to -7.5 when the calendar flipped, and reopened at -7 once the NFL announced the game would be played at 1 p.m ET. The opening lookahead line for this game ahead of the new year was -10, according to BetQL. MORE NFL WEEK 18: Odds, spreads | Power Rankings Patriots at Bills odds for NFL Week 18 Let's dive into this one, taking a look at the odds, trends, storylines, and ultimately our prediction for what should be an entertaining divisional clash. NFL WEEK 18 PICKS: Best Bets | Against the Spread | Moneyline The long and short of it - whatever that expression means - is that both New England and Buffalo will aim to win this week, and that's not great for Belichick's boys. As my British Literature professor used to say three times a week, there may or may not be a pop quiz. Jets), Titans Jaguars), and Steelers (vs. ![]() Cincinnati's wins have come against slightly better teams by record than Buffalo's, so the Bengals get the second seed."Īs for the Patriots (8-8), they currently hold a wild card spot - but to maintain it, they would need one of the following: "The strength of victory tiebreaker gets triggered due to the same overall record, conference record, and record in common games. Big shout to Russ Heltman of Sports Illustrated for this little explainer: The Bills now must win this week in order to avoid being leap-frogged by the Bengals, who would have the "strength of victory" tiebreaker over Buffalo if Cincy beats Baltimore this weekend. Of course, the elephant in the room remains the missing results from the canceled Bills-Bengals game in which Hamlin collapsed on-field after suffering cardiac arrest. But now that doctors have started revealing good news updates about the 24-year-old Bills safety, we feel more comfortable preparing a betting preview for this weekend's Bills-Patriots game in Buffalo.Īnd to prep you on this game, we first must go over the various implications around it. Waiting and wishing for the best possible outcome for Damar Hamlin, the majority of us have put trivial-sounding things like betting and fantasy on the back burner. Copyright 2023 Miami Dolphins Ltd., All rights reserved.For most NFL players, coaches, staff, fans, and media, the past few days have been unlike anything we've experienced before.
0 Comments
Leave a Reply. |
Details
AuthorWrite something about yourself. No need to be fancy, just an overview. ArchivesCategories |